Views & News

Emerging markets and the dollar: why not to be bearish on EM for too long

| Emerging Markets Equities
James Syme
21 Jan 2020
  • The US dollar and dollar liquidity is a key driver of emerging economies and capital markets.
  • We think that investors have assumed that this is the new
    normal - but pressure on the dollar is building.
  • Both current positioning of emerging economies and historical return patterns suggest that emerging market equities could
    deliver very strong returns when the dollar does roll over - investors should not stay bearish on EM for too long

Disclaimer

The views expressed are those of the portfolio manager as of January 2020, are subject to change, and may differ from the views of other portfolio managers or the firm as a whole. These opinions are not intended to be a forecast of  future events, a guarantee of future results, or investment advice.

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